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View Diary: General Election Projections, Beta Version (223 comments)

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  •  very important point on the weights (0+ / 0-)

    The weights in the head-to-head polls are not obviously taking projections of turnout into account-I assume they are based on 2004 turnout but have not checked.  

    This could tip some states not assumed to go to Obama above.

    ``...Stand still. The forest knows
    Where you are. You must let it find you.''
    from `Lost' by David Wagoner

    by dlcox1958 on Wed Feb 27, 2008 at 12:26:57 AM PST

    [ Parent ]

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