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View Diary: General Election Projections, Beta Version (223 comments)

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  •  2004 and prior years (0+ / 0-)

    Its true that the plains swung towards Kerry in 2004 compared to 2000.  But its somewhat misleading, since they swung towards Republicans in the 3 prior elections (2 Clintons, 1 Gore).  For a state-level map of these 3, see 2000, 1996, and 1992.
    But note that these maps flip the normal colors and use red for Democrats and blue for Republicans.

    I haven't done the analysis to know for sure, but I'm guessing 2004 was just a partial reversal of the prior elections, and due primarily to W rather than anything Democrats did.

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