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View Diary: General Election Projections, Beta Version (223 comments)

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  •  I love models (0+ / 0-)

    ... good ones that is.  This is pretty oddly built one.  How about including some additional predictive factors at the start and then doing stepwise regression and walking us through that?  There's no method here.

    Showing your regression analysis would be nice, some of these factors seem a little weak and I'd be interested in the data.  Including the fundraising seems sketchy unless you are normalizing by party - McCain hardly has a reason to raise funds in Colorado, but the Dems sure do.

    Finally, if you could show the predictive power of primary poll data from seven months ago on recent results that would help me believe that the current polls are predictive of November.  

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