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View Diary: Pennsylvania - C - 52, O - 37!! New Rasmussen (258 comments)

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  •  It will be more than a 50 delegate lead (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Tetris, cybrestrike

    It will probably be over 100.  And Obama should also win the popular vote by a decent margin.  The superdelegates will line up behind Obama.

    FL and MI won't matter.  They will get "seated" one way or another, but even with a re-vote Obama will win MI handily.  FL will be closer than you think.

    Hillary needs to earn pledged delegates "by the dozen" to take this thing.  She's not catching up fast enough.

    •  Ok, (0+ / 0-)

      since you seem to know so much about the future, I'll just call you Nostradamus (sp?) We'll see how you "hunches" turn out. PS, i've got plenty of "hunches" too.

      "A conservative is a man with two perfectly good legs who, however, has never learned how to walk forward." - Franklin Delano Roosevelt

      by bawhite on Thu Mar 06, 2008 at 11:42:00 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

      •  we can place a wager (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        Tetris

        My predictions - like everyone else - have not been perfect.  NPR just had two stories in a row at the top of "All Things Considered" that I think are telling.

        1.)  Texas - who really won?  (Obama, not Hillary - probably by 3 delegates.)

        2.)  Obama raises $55 million - in Feb!!!

        Hillary got the "glory" on March 4th.  A false declaration of victory in Texas, and she didn't win nearly enough delegates in OH or RI.

        Obama has picked up another 4 (at the least) superdelegates today as well.  March 4th was only a minor speedbump breaking the 12-state winning streak, but it was not enough.

        •  Well we shall (0+ / 0-)

          see, oh wise one.

          "A conservative is a man with two perfectly good legs who, however, has never learned how to walk forward." - Franklin Delano Roosevelt

          by bawhite on Thu Mar 06, 2008 at 07:08:42 PM PST

          [ Parent ]

          •  better wise (0+ / 0-)

            than wise-ass.  (i'm normally not negative, but you asked for it.  maybe you are channeling Hillary?)  

            I read your "Apprehension diary" and my only response to you is that Obama has a history of success bringing people together in the IL Senate to pass progressive legislation.  When he is elected president, he should have decent majorities in both houses to work with and get passed a ton of important legislation - and it will be progressive.  

            Obama is not taking lobbyist money.  He's not aligned with Mark Penn, James Carville and the DLC, who want to do the same K-street bullshit as the Rethugs.  He needs to bring people together, but that won't stop him from making the right judgments.

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