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View Diary: General Election Projections, Survey USA Rules Edition (259 comments)

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  •  Does Obama have an advantage over HRC in Texas? (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Osiris, shaharazade, Nulwee

    I thought Texas went to Hillary (which I think is a genuinely tall tale...)

    Sorry, but I'm one of those fact-checking librarian types.

    •  I only used the latest SUSA (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      pb, neroden, kkjohnson

      which has Obama 1, Clinton 7 in a head to head with McCain.  If you look at the SUSA, you'll find lots of surprises where one does better even though they may have lost the primary, like LA goes for Clinton but she got clobbered in the primary.

      "There is no barrier of people's acceptance. The only barrier is the media. Remember what people cannot see or hear, they cannot think about."

      by dugjxn on Thu Mar 06, 2008 at 09:27:55 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

      •  That's right. (2+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        parker parrot, wishingwell

        I've had a long day and I just remembered the rationale:

        Clinton does better among TX Democrats, but Independents are a whoppingly large number in Texas.  Obama outshines McCain because of Obama.

        The party can nominate who it likes, but Clinton does not do that well in Texas imo.  It's a hit or miss win which relies on very large latino turnout.

        Republicans believe in gvmt. intervention for bankers and investors, I believe in intervention for the meek and lowly -- Nulwee.

        by Nulwee on Thu Mar 06, 2008 at 10:42:06 PM PST

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    •  Texas didn't go to Hillary... (5+ / 0-)

      she won the primary, he won the caucus.  He won more from the caucus than she won from the primary, for a net gain for him from the state of about 3 or 4 delegates when it all works out.  His campaign should be trumpeting their Texas win constantly to contradict the media narrative of her primary win.

      -4.50, -5.95 Never underestimate the power of human stupidity. - Heinlein

      by Elvis Vader on Thu Mar 06, 2008 at 10:56:18 PM PST

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      •  In this case, it is the general election vote (3+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        pb, neroden, Andy30tx

        that matters.  It isn't the same thing as who wins the primary, not at all, because some people will prefer Obama, then McCain, then Clinton, or the reverse rather than Democrat vs. Republican.

        Honesty is still the best policy.

        by oscarsdad on Thu Mar 06, 2008 at 11:01:20 PM PST

        [ Parent ]

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