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View Diary: More Straight Talk From John McCain (158 comments)

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  •  BUT Hillary's not going to be the nominee (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    wishingwell, RenMin

    No way she closes the gap any, at all, even just a little.

    Am I wrong?

    Ready to Xerox on Day One.

    by tmeyer on Sun Mar 09, 2008 at 01:46:07 PM PDT

    [ Parent ]

    •  Don't tell Hillary (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      madgranny, RenMin

      So far most of her surrogates are pushing the idea that Obama is not qualified for the job; I have not seen her explain how she will beat McCain.  

      •  Gov. Rendell wasn't so bad this morning on (3+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        wishingwell, RenMin, paintitblue

        Meet the Press.  Didn't take the bait to make any statement about Sen. Obama not being qualified, and said he'd "ethusiastically endorse" Barack Obama if he's the nominee.

        In the Obama campaign, it's the surrogates that go negative, in Clinton's camp it's the candidate!

        Ready to Xerox on Day One.

        by tmeyer on Sun Mar 09, 2008 at 02:00:55 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

      •  here's how (0+ / 0-)

        she will win all the blue 2004 states plus New Mexico with its Latinos, she will win Arkansas, which will put her at 266, and pretty much most other states would put her over the top. We've now seen her do well in a demographic Dems have not done well in : the white working class, exhibit A Ohio. If she were to win Iowa plus AK, NM and 2004 states, she has exactly 270 electoral votes. She doesn't even need Iowa if she carries Ohio, as her husband did. She also has West Virginia possibly, as Bill carried it twice. She would be more likely in Iowa than McCain because tho Bill implemented NAFTA, she's now flip flopped, McCain still supports it. She has an electoral college edge. We know Obama can also win all the 04 states, giving him 252 EVs, but can he get NM Latinos, considering how unpopular he is with them? Will the Reagan Dems non-blue states turn their states blue for him? He can't get Arkansas, Hillary will. He may have trouble in Ohio, considering his poor showing there. Hillary has the white voter edge in the swing states that we need to carry, both have the 04 states in the bag tho.

        •  Here's how what? (3+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          wishingwell, DocGonzo, RenMin

          She won't be the nominee.  Survey USA just did all the work on who'd win what anyway - came out yesterday.  

          Ready to Xerox on Day One.

          by tmeyer on Sun Mar 09, 2008 at 02:14:35 PM PDT

          [ Parent ]

          •  thats a blatantly biased poll for Obama (1+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            RenMin

            which forgets that there are margins of error, and it makes it look great for Obama and bad for Clinton. I don't think either will win a 2004 state. its about who gains a 1996 state as well.

            •  Where's the blatant bias? (1+ / 0-)
              Recommended by:
              wishingwell

              It's a poll, of course there's margin of error, who says there isn't.  M.O.E. goes BOTH ways.  But where's the bias.  You can't just say there's blatant bias just because Sen. Obama comes out better than Hillary.

              If anything, the SUSA electoral map poll is backed up by almost every head-to-head Obama/McCain / Clinton/McCain combo poll.

              Blatant bias?  "Makes it look great for Obama" how exactly?

              And what year state was Virginia anyway?

              Ready to Xerox on Day One.

              by tmeyer on Sun Mar 09, 2008 at 02:51:37 PM PDT

              [ Parent ]

        •  Just because Bill carried W VA doesn't mean (2+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          wishingwell, tmeyer

          Hillary will.

          Not only have times changed, but the cultural issues cut far heavier against her than agains him.  I don't like it either, but it's reality.

          "At least the war on the environment is going well."

          by RenMin on Sun Mar 09, 2008 at 02:30:26 PM PDT

          [ Parent ]

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