Skip to main content

View Diary: Obama’s Huge Coattails (with Maps and District Analysis) (122 comments)

Comment Preferences

  •  Nice Work (6+ / 0-)

    Thanks!  While I tend to be more than a bit skeptical of polling done this far before an election I am wondering where you got the polling data on congressional districts -- particulary those that are shown on the map(s) but not listed in the text of the diary.

    •  like i mention in the diary ... (6+ / 0-)

      it's not an exact science, as most congressional districts do not directly correspond to areas SUSA classifies as "regions" in their polling, but you can nevertheless make some correlations.  For example, in Ohio SUSA provides subsamples in their cross-tabs for Cincinatti area and you can extrapolate that data for OH-1 and OH-2 which are both Cincinnati-based districts.  In only two cases (Maine & Nebraska) did SUSA actually poll directly by congressional district (b/c of how the electoral vote is partly proportional in those states), but you can still extrapolate a lot of info based on what' s in the SUSA numbers and basic knowledge of geography.

      •  Thanks (2+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        dadanation, Barry Welsh

        I found it and I can see what you are saying now.  Another example is the polling stats from North Carolina are limited the Charlotte, Raleigh, and east and south NC.  There is no info on the far western part of the state unless it is lumped in with the Charlotte data which is absurd as it has a totally different demographic.

        •  yes ... i wish there were many more regions .. (4+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          gogol, dadanation, Barry Welsh, oscarsdad

          for some states/parts of states, the SUSA data was enough; for many others (like western NC) there really wasn't enough as it was indeed lumped in w/ "Charlotte" ... but i did the best i could w/ the data that was there -- so at least we get a partial picture.

          For all of the competitive districts, I believe, I tried to make sure the SUSA data was correlated to congress. district in a relevant way (ie. we couldn't really make a correlation for Schuler's district in west. NC based on "Charlotte" data; but you can make a correlation for OH-1 based on "Cincinnati" data -- if that makes sense) ...

Subscribe or Donate to support Daily Kos.

Click here for the mobile view of the site