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View Diary: Delegate Math: Where We Stand After Iowa Redux [Updated] (250 comments)

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  •  OK, that is right, the real Magic Number is.... (1+ / 0-)
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    I make it, from the above spreadheet, that O'bama can gain an unsurpassable Majority if he adds 75 of the uncommitted Super Delegates, not 53 as stated in that spreadsheet.

    Here's the breakdown:

    1929 projected pledged delegates

    1811 projected pledged delegates

    Uncommitted SDs: 267

    2004 (+75)  = 28% of uncommitted SDs

    2003 (+192) = 72% of uncommitted SDs

    Unless something catastrophic happens over the next month or so, he should be able to get 75 out of the remaining 267 uncommitted SDs locked up. Obviously, the more cushion, the better and the more PDs he gains, the fewer SDs he will need.

    "Every government degenerates when trusted to the rulers of the people alone. The people themselves are its only safe depositories." - Thomas Jefferson

    by fetalposition on Sun Mar 16, 2008 at 10:05:02 PM PDT

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