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View Diary: The Six Types of Voters (145 comments)

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  •  The method is sound (1+ / 0-)
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    Land of Enchantment

    It's just giving you an average of EVs over multiple trials via shortcut.   It's not like Obama can win 5 of CO's 9 EVs, but saying 5 gives a more accurate picture than 9 or 0.

    In selecting a president, I favor foresight over hindsight.

    by Rorgg on Mon Mar 17, 2008 at 07:13:09 AM PDT

    [ Parent ]

    •  I can see that for so called swing states (1+ / 0-)
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      Land of Enchantment

      but many are so sure, I wonder if it is more accurate to hedge those predictions and bunch them with trials of truly questionable states. The accuracy of 5000 trials can be counted on when there are many transactions. The vote happens once.

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