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View Diary: FACT: Bush Led Gore By 13 Points in Late October (100 comments)

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  •  Not necessarily (none)
    While I agree Bush is losing some portions of those groups, I don't think he's losing all of those you mention.  And I don't see a landslide any way you cut it.  But I do agree that Bush needs HUGE margins in the groups he can bank on in order to win.

    What I predict is that after this election pollsters will have to change their models to statistically adjust for groups such as cellular only households.

    •  RE: (none)
      >But I do agree that Bush needs HUGE margins in the groups he can bank on in order to win.

      Agreed. I mean that he is losing some of each of those groups and this time around he can't afford to lose any. He's losing some of his 2000 base.

      Yes he still has majorities in all those groups, but it goes to the whole "he got 500k few votes" this time around.

      He can't afford to lose any.

      Thankfully he is.

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