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View Diary: FACT: Bush Led Gore By 13 Points in Late October (100 comments)

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  •  The election comes down to this: (4.00)
    If approximately 50% of total adults vote, Bush wins: if closer to 55% of total adults vote, Kerry wins. Its as simple as that.

    Ben P

    The United States has a conservative political culture defending a liberal heritage. The modern Republican Party's problem is that it is neither.

    by Ben P on Sat Sep 04, 2004 at 05:19:06 PM PDT

    •  For the sake of leeway.. (none)
      I'd say if turnout breaks 54% there will be a good shot Kerry wins, 57% and he's almost a shoe in and if turnout breaks 60% its either a landslide or both sides had GOTV exceed expectations and it will be about 5AM on 3 November before we know if this is gonna require either the Supreme Court or the House of Reps to resolve.

      "We Need To Find Courage...Overcome...Inaction Is A Weapon Of Mass Destruction..."(Faithless "Mass Destruction")

      by DanceboyOH on Sat Sep 04, 2004 at 05:43:35 PM PDT

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