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View Diary: Maliki blinks (164 comments)

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  •  Worse still (4+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Dallasdoc, walkshills, drmah, MizKit

    Whether or not Sadr ends up in charge, Iran has gained significant influence that it did not have before in Iraq. In negotiations leading up to this cease-fire, Iran is said to have played a role as mediator. Not the US, Iran.

    •  I suspect that'll be temporary (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      walkshills, John2Luke

      Iran has a lot of utility to Shiite factions fighting for power, but once somebody wins the struggle Iran may well find itself out in the cold.  Once their usefulness wanes, so will their influence.

      Hanoi didn't break John McCain, but Washington did.

      by Dallasdoc on Sun Mar 30, 2008 at 11:34:35 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  don't forget the Kurds (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        Dallasdoc

        If Iraq can solve its own issues relative to the Kurds in the north, they won't need Iran. It's a huge job and it's going to require strong people with mojo and a nationalist agenda. al-Sadr will be part of that. Iran doesn't want a strong Iraq.

        However, it's a big "if". Part of that "if" depends on getting people elected here who have the creds and attitude to work with all of these factions to facilitate a deal that lets us walk away without more damage to all concerned.

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