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  •  McCain stomping Obama in the Polls (0+ / 0-)
    •  some very unlikely assumptions built into that (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      lightfoot, RenMin

      for example that Dems will lose four states where they're more likely than not to win: PA, NJ, MI, and NH.

      In any case, another instance where you're making things up. You talk about McCain stomping Obama in polls, then point to a (highly fluid) electoral map. In national polls, however, Obama leads McCain.

      •  No Assumptions - Just the latest polls (0+ / 0-)

        I made no assumptions. I just gave you the link for the latest polls by state.  Obviously you are disturbed McCain is leading in Pennsylvania, Michigan, and many other places YOU ASSUME will be won by Obama.  Leading with over 300 electoral votes is a BIG lead no matter how that might choke you.

        Your claim the national polls find Obama leading? False:

        Obama vs McCain
        Rasmussen Tracking 03/26 - 03/29 1700 LV 44% 47% McCain +3%
        Gallup Tracking 03/24 - 03/29 4407 RV 44% 47% McCain +3%

        •  yes, assumptions (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          lightfoot

          The site you linked to assigns a state to whichever candidate is leading in the last-published poll, whether or not it's a reliable polling outfit, whether or not those results agree with other recent polls. It's an easily disproven assumption that the most recent poll is the most reliable.

          Pollster.com shows that throughout March the majority of polls have Obama leading McCain, and that's especially true of the more reliable polls. It's the polls that are historically weighted toward Republicans, Rasmussen and Gallup, or just plain garbage polls, like Zogby, that give McCain a lead over Obama. Rasmussen's 10 point lead for McCain refutes itself; nobody else has McCain far ahead.

          All the others give Obama the lead. So, yes, it's silly to say McCain is "stomping" Obama in the polls. Instead, he's leading narrowly in Gallup's tracking, and trailing Obama in nearly all others.

          •  Don't Like Rasmussen or Gallup, eh? (0+ / 0-)

            Let's check out Reuters on March 21st:

            General Election: McCain vs. Obama Reuters     Obama 40, McCain 46 McCain +6

            Fox, also on the 21st:

            General Election: McCain vs. Obama FOX News Obama 43, McCain 44, Und 13 McCain +1

            Bonus State results from SurveyUSA, also 21st.

            Minnesota: McCain vs. Obama SurveyUSA McCain 47, Obama 46, Und 7 McCain +1
            Massachusetts: McCain vs. Obama SurveyUSA McCain 47, Obama 47, Und 6 Tie
            Missouri: McCain vs. Obama SurveyUSA McCain 53, Obama 39, Und 9 McCain +14
            Kentucky: McCain vs. Obama SurveyUSA McCain 64, Obama 28, Und 8 McCain +36
            Ohio: McCain vs. Obama SurveyUSA McCain 50, Obama 43, Und 7 McCain +7

             Obama seems to be having problems in those border states where he supposedly was to change the electoral map.  What happened?

            One factoid for you to ponder.  In the Presidential campaigns of both 2000 and 2004, Bush NEVER lead ONCE, in any poll, for the states of Pennsylvania or Michigan.  McCain has consistently been leading vs Obama this year.  What's going on?  Why is McCain stronger than Bush?

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