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View Diary: Ridiculous PA poll (290 comments)

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  •  Kos is managing expectations (3+ / 0-)

    I think Obama has maybe a 30% chance of a PA win.  Managing expectations is important though, or we'll wake up on April 23rd to headlines like "Resurgent Clinton Wins Key PA Victory" and we'll have talking heads on our TVs talking about how her PA victory legitimizes Clinton staying in till the convention, proves she's more electable, etc.

    •  Yet another come back (after blowing a 20pt lead) (0+ / 0-)

      There is that, but at some point, the snake-oil salesman has trouble selling the miraculous recovery when it's always the same 'complete stranger' making the comeback.  You start to ask, why is that same person in every crowd and always on death's door.

      There is also the 'band-wagon' effect.

      People like voting for a winner and take other's support as a kind of mass endorsement - passing judgment on the person and charges.  

      Especially for the uncommitted/undecided voters, these polls can be a kind of instant referendum on the candidate challenge of the day.

      Think of the constitution as a levee. Think of our democracy as New Orleans.

      by Into The Woods on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 04:49:16 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

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