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View Diary: Oregon delegate predictions (48 comments)

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  •  Obama easy in or-3 (1+ / 0-)
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    Portland's going to go big for O. I frankly don't think 7-2 is out of the question,
    But 6-3 seems safe to me. There is no clinton presence.

    •  The SUSA internals (0+ / 0-)

      only show Obama up by 8 in Portland area (up by 26 in rest of state).  I have a hunch Survey USA is underestimating his support here, but until other polls confirm my suspicions, I'm predicting +10 statewide, in which case I don't see how he gets above 61% there.  If he starts pushing the state to Wisconsin numbers, then all bets are off and he's going to start breaking the barriers and getting more delegates.

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