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View Diary: NC early votes huge, 326,341 Dem ballots in, 39.3% Black (289 comments)

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  •  Concern has some relevance (1+ / 0-)
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    In early voting states, most AA voters vote early. This means that the AA percentage in early voting will not be replicated on voting day and will not tally with overall AA turnout. Obama's task now is to get the white vote.
    It will be interesting, also, to see if the Wright fallout impacted the AA vote in NC since it did in fact cause a rift in the AA community esp. between clergy and parishioners.

    Jeremiah Wright is Alright, Goddamn It!

    by 174winchell on Sat May 03, 2008 at 04:28:30 PM PDT

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    •  I highly doubt (1+ / 0-)
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      the black vote abandons Obama by any means (even a few points) b/c of the Wright mess.

    •  eh, broad assumption (1+ / 0-)
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      Dave Sund

      my experience talking to AA counterparts here in IN, many didn't even know they COULD vote early.

      Using Hillary's Logic, IF my Aunt had balls she'd be my Uncle.

      by Ambboogie on Sat May 03, 2008 at 05:19:17 PM PDT

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    •  What Kind Of Shit Is This. (1+ / 0-)
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      Dave Sund

      You can't possibly know that "In early voting states, most AA voters vote early."

      Besides, 40% AA vote in the early voting in NC is not unusual given that they make up 38% of registered Democrats in this closed primary state. This 40% AA share of the vote will probably hold through the election.

      As for your theory on the Wright matter hurting Obama with AAs -- right! Show me something.

      "There's no housing bubble..." - Fed Chief Ben Bernanke, 10/27/2005

      by chuco35 on Sat May 03, 2008 at 05:58:52 PM PDT

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      •  Obama's GOTV effort (1+ / 0-)
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        is very focussed on early voting.  He had an early voting rally in Chapel Hill on Monday.  I canvassed Durham on Wednesday encouraging people to vote early.  So I wouldn't be surprised if early voting tilts Obama more than election-day voting.

        Still, I know lots of white Obama voters, including my nominally Republican father-in-law and sister-in-law, who reregistered unaffiliated to vote for Obama.  I think 40% of the white vote for Obama is not out of the question.

        The Gov. Easley thing troubles me somewhat, although I've never met anyone who actually likes the guy, so it might not make a difference. Also, my wife got an e-mail saying they've been having trouble getting volunteers in NC, so volunteer if you're down here.

        By the way, NC is a blue state at the local level, and could easily be in play in November.  Don't let the cynics tell you otherwise.

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