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View Diary: NC early votes huge, 326,341 Dem ballots in, 39.3% Black (289 comments)

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  •  The only problem (1+ / 0-)
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    I don't know how one can compare elections from February 2008 to ones in May 2008. Clinton barely contested VA, GA and MD, but she's pretty heavy into NC. Add that to Wright and some bloom off the rose of Obama and you have probably a higher WV turnout and  lower percentage of that to Obama.

    Having said that, it does appear past results have been a good predictor of current elections.

    BTW, since most of the WV is women in the Democratic primaries, don't be fooled that Obama isn't picking up that vote because of race - it's because a highly qualified white woman is running against him.

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