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View Diary: Final NC delegate prediction: Obama 63, Clinton 52 (94 comments)

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  •  Nah, Obama could get more... (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    soms

    ...if he can make it a blowout in North Carolina. There's potential for him to get the +17 margin that Poblano predicted - if things go better than expected. I don't think that will happen, though, so a low double-digit pickup in the delegate count is probably the better expectation.

    •  ok but (0+ / 0-)

      Why would that happen when the spreadsheet from the Obama campaign has been correct, or high, until now?

      I'd like to be wishful about this, but am trying to be realistic!

      Everyone is surprised after the elections, but if you drop some points off the projections, that's where we're at.

      ...on a good day I bowl a 19

      by mahakali overdrive on Mon May 05, 2008 at 04:02:27 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  I don't see alot of space (0+ / 0-)

      between Obama's floor and his ceiling. I'm 90% sure that he will get at least 53% but no more than 58%. Basically, the situation is the reverse of what Pennsylvania looked like in the last few days before its primary.

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