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View Diary: Final NC delegate prediction: Obama 63, Clinton 52 (94 comments)

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  •  my canvassing experience says different (0+ / 0-)

    but we will see.

    "In Japan, American occupation forces quickly became 50,000 friends. In Iraq, they would quickly become 50,000 terrorist targets. " James Webb, Sep 02

    by ParaHammer on Mon May 05, 2008 at 04:22:24 PM PDT

    [ Parent ]

    •  I see him around 50% of the white vote in Durham (0+ / 0-)

      At my work, I'd say the Obama vote is 60-80% of the grad students/postdocs and under 50 with the faculty, and my sense is Durham at large the white vote will probably be around 50%.  I haven't canvassed any white neighborhoods, just my personal sense of things from the people I know.

      There's definitely a huge pool of potential Obama voters amoungst the black vote...I canvassed a middle class neighborhood over the weekend and only 20% had early voted.  The neighborhood I canvassed today (a very transitional neighborhood) maybe only 10% had voted, and everyone I talked to said they were going to vote...it just remains to be seen how many actually turn out.

      So, I'd say that Durham County will easily go for Obama, but I don't see it getting above 50% of the white vote.

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