Skip to main content

View Diary: Exit Poll Liveblog (Updated 12x) - LAST Exit poll round: Obama wins BOTH! (368 comments)

Comment Preferences

  •  I hate math. (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    poe

    If 4 out of 10 say the recession has affected them and Hillary wins them by 53 to 46% then 6 out of 10 say the recession has not affected them and Obama wins them by 54 to 46% then the result we can expect is:

    ??????????????????

    I don't mind straight people as long as they act gay in public.

    by internationaljock on Tue May 06, 2008 at 02:22:36 PM PDT

    •  That would be about a 1 point win for Obama (5+ / 0-)

      if these exit polls were to hold any validity, which they don't.  I don't think that can be stressed enough

      I am a liberal and I'm damn proud of it

      by smash artist on Tue May 06, 2008 at 02:23:31 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  SUSA had AA turnout at 32% and a 5-point (0+ / 0-)

        Obama win.

        Don't Legitimize Fox News.
        "Democrats have the heart to care."

        by jeepdad on Tue May 06, 2008 at 02:27:03 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

      •  I wonder about the (0+ / 0-)

        overestimation of Obama in early exits thus far, and if it was due to the Bradley effect, I think the Wright issue may have given cover to those who would answer dishonestly so as not to appear racist. I think that is why the Wright numbers are so high as to whether it was an issue, but also remember, that it could be an issue that caused a backlash rather than the erosion of Barack's support. Basically what I'm saying is who the hell knows what these numbers mean. I say NC is called right away, and Clinton isn't projected in IN until late tonight.

        Is life so dear, or peace so sweet, as to be purchased at the price of chains and slavery? - Patrick Henry

        by BetMyCitizenship on Tue May 06, 2008 at 02:52:42 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

    •  Tie (0+ / 0-)

      Or close to it, but again I don't think we can read much into these early ones.

      "Polls are like crack, political activists know they're bad for them but they read them anyways."-Unkown

      by skywaker9 on Tue May 06, 2008 at 02:23:50 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  4 in 10 said it affected them A GREAT DEAL (0+ / 0-)

      So probably some said it affected them somewhat, and they went to Clinton.

      "There's not a liberal America and a conservative America; THERE'S THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA." OBAMA '08

      by democrattotheend on Tue May 06, 2008 at 02:24:21 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  Well... (0+ / 0-)

      It would be 50.8 to 47.6 - Obama.  But there is wiggle room there. The 40% indicate that those are the numbers where the 'recession has affected them a great deal.'  Not 'just affected' them.  If only 40% were unaffected, then the numbers would be reversed.

      The Democratic Party - Finding new and interesting ways to lose the Presidency since 1968!

      by RichM on Tue May 06, 2008 at 02:31:55 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  That's not what they said (0+ / 0-)

      They said 4 out of 10 say the recession has "greatly affected them." There is probably another option for "somewhat" affecting them, and she wins 53-46 among  the 2 combined. They did not say that 6 out of 10 said the recession has not affected them, and what are the odds that 6 out of 10 would say that??

Subscribe or Donate to support Daily Kos.

  • Recommended (149)
  • Community (71)
  • Baltimore (68)
  • Bernie Sanders (49)
  • Freddie Gray (38)
  • Civil Rights (38)
  • Elections (27)
  • Hillary Clinton (27)
  • Culture (24)
  • Racism (23)
  • Education (20)
  • Labor (20)
  • Media (19)
  • Law (19)
  • Economy (19)
  • Rescued (18)
  • Science (16)
  • 2016 (15)
  • Politics (15)
  • Riots (14)
  • Click here for the mobile view of the site