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View Diary: TX-Sen: dKos poll confirms close Senate race (116 comments)

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  •  Likely voters (2+ / 0-)
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    PeterHug, Leap Year

    This is the fun part of the equation.

    Obama's goal with the voter registration drive is to upset that math.

    Sure, it's likely that the people that register and vote will just reflect the state of things already. But it's more likely that those people aren't covered by polling.

    It certainly won't improve enough to be competitive just on that basis.

    More interesting to me is the idea that Texas is a split state as far as the Dem nomination goes. I wonder how many of those people that said they'd vote for McCain are Obama/Clinton supporters that are still in "I hate Clinton/Obama" mindsets.

    Not sure if that can be pulled out of the crosstabs. A quick scan above makes me think it can't be.

    I'm not yet ready to decide that Texas is lost to Obama. Good thing. Because the election is still months away.

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