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View Diary: CAN Obama win without Clinton's "base"? (63 comments)

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  •  I agree with OH (0+ / 0-)

    but FL is another issue. I'm not ready to write off FL as by my analysis it is still a tier-1 contest. My analysis is based on the ratio of number of non-participants in the 2004 election vs. the margin of victory by Bush over Kerry. For FL that number is 11-1. If the Vote-for-Change effort in FL is successful, I think we've got a good shot.

    •  As mentioned up thread (0+ / 0-)

      the point is to compete everywhere, causing JMC to:

      1. spend money he won't have (public finance).
      1. Time and energy, he doesn't have

      it will be horrible for JMC to campaign non stop for 5 months by september he will be running on fumes financially and with a grampa thompson  schedule while his VP will be running a full schedule

      BHO might not win TX or FL, if you add OH and PA as toss ups, these are big expensive markets, after an uptick of BHO numbers on several states JMC will be forced to spend time and money there.

      we will be witness to the worst campaigner in modern politics in JMC when all is said and done.

      "First they ignore you, then they ridicule you, then they fight you, then you win." -- Mahatma Gandhi

      by IamTheJudge on Fri May 09, 2008 at 07:18:44 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

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