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View Diary: AK-Sen, AK-AL, AK-Pres: Democrats competitive all around (174 comments)

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  •  Obama should campaign in AK (13+ / 0-)

    When is the last time a Democratic presidential candidate was there? I mean, other than Gravel. :)  

    •  Richard Nixon, bu he waited till the last minute (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      jj32, seattlegirl

      to fulfill a promise.

    •  We have the possibility of a reallignment (7+ / 0-)

      in the northern Mountain states, the northern Plains states and Alaska.  Obama probably will win CO, NM, NV.  It is completely possible that he could win AK, ND, even NE.  He can make the Thugs spend money in MT, even Idaho, for chrissakes.  

      This will be the closest Democratic race in a very long time in the West.  The Republicans are on the defensive across the West.  The down-ticket benefits of Obama as the nominee are huge.  One of the strongest arguments for Obama's candidacy, right from early on, is his ability to shift our map a little.

      Alaska skews young, demographically. The GOP, with the important exception of Sarah Palin, is discredited.  Obama doesn't carry the negatives associated with other more mainstream Democrats, and volunteers matter at least as much as money up there.  We are looking pretty good at this point.

      In matters of style, swim with the current; in matters of principle, stand like a rock. ...Thomas Jefferson

      by ivorybill on Thu May 15, 2008 at 10:51:46 AM PDT

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      •  Poor Obama (4+ / 0-)

        I can only imagine how tired he is going to be after November, since I imagine he will be running one of the busiest campaigns ever, actively campaigning in more states than ever before.

      •  Still conservative (2+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        ivorybill, seattlegirl

        Don't expect the mountain states and northern plains states to be like Massachusetts or California.  The people there are still conservative in the true sense of the word, but not by the perverse definition that the GOP is now using.

        Instead of voting for drooling, knuckle-dragging wingnut conservatives, they will vote for thoughtful, but conservative Democrats.

        •  That's the point (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          seattlegirl

          Democrats are elected to statewide office routinely in the upper midwest.  We are competitive if we have a candidate who is a good fit, culturally and in terms of policy.

          I think that some of these states are moderately conservative in a libertarian way - but the old dichotomy between liberal and conservative is getting to be a poor fit in many areas.  The divisions between ranchers and environmentalists are not as stark as they once were. There is not a lot of automatic racism in the plains or mountain states, nor that much resistence to government intervention in financial systems, for example.  Someone like Obama who is quite "liberal" the way things are measured now, may still be able to command a lot of support in these states, enough to make some of them competitive.

          In matters of style, swim with the current; in matters of principle, stand like a rock. ...Thomas Jefferson

          by ivorybill on Thu May 15, 2008 at 11:18:03 AM PDT

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          •  Yes, "liberal" and "conservative" don't mean much (1+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            ivorybill

            Yes, the GOP uses the word "liberal" like a bad word, but most of us libertarian / moderate Republican types don't hold a bad connotation to the word "liberal" (just like we don't hold a good or a bad connotation with the word "conservative").  

            They are definitely outdated words that came to popularity in the Reagan era and that since that time have been used by Republicans as a rallying cry.  More recently, the Conservative wing (that BTW has hijacked the Republican Party from all of us sane people) of the Republican Party uses these words as a way to try to drum up support for their misguided "policies".

            These words mean nothing to the grand majority of Americans and a grand majority of what had been the Republican Party (even as little as 4 years ago).

            The GOP does not get it that labeling people conservative and liberal does not hold water anymore - people want to understand stances on issues and get real solutions to real problems.  Mark my words, the GOP is going down hard this year.  We want our country back from the neo-con idiots like GW Bush!

          •  Except Native Americans (3+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            neroden, TomP, seattlegirl

            There is not a lot of automatic racism in the plains or mountain states

            I've seen some pretty bad shit in my lifetime.  I have also tried to do something about it.

            I worked on a pro-bono case my Minneapolis law firm (this was about 7 years pre-J.D. for me) was handling challenging the trademarks of the Washington Redskins Football Club in the U.S. Patent Office because they are "scandelous."

            I was the motivating force behind my YMCA's transition away from the Indian Guides/Princesses program to Adventure Guides.  I and two other volunteers stepped up and created a new parent-child program from the ground up and insisted that every Expedition (f/k/a Nations) drop the Indian theme and follow the new program, even to the point of almost disbanding one of the Expeditions (they got the memo and promised to change -- which they have, to their credit).

            I don't mean to pat myself on the back.  I want everyone to know that it doesn't take much to do something about racism, and if we all gave a little, think about how much better the world would be.

    •  Remember Cheney's Hawaii stop in '04? (4+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      ivorybill, Shhs, LogicaLizE, seattlegirl

      If they can go to Hawaii to make an appearance in a longshot state, we can go to Alaska to do the same.

      I think a campaign event in a state like Alaska would mean a lot and cause quite a stir. If not Obama, then his VP or top surrogates. At the least, do it to help raise money and generate publicity for Begich and Berkowitz.

      •  The former governor, Tony Knowles, (5+ / 0-)

        is a big Obama supporter, endorsed him right before Iowa. Berkowitz caucused for Obama. It would definitely cause a stir, first Dem presidential candidate to campaign there in quite a while.

      •  Obama's young (3+ / 0-)

        Why not Idaho too?  McCain won't be able to keep up. Big rallies, lots of enthusiasm - even if we lose those states in the end, it will force the Republicans to spend money.  And it seems like he's got ground game in Idaho...

        It feels pretty good to be on offense for a change. I'm thinking at least one Western state nobody thought was competitive will flip.

        In matters of style, swim with the current; in matters of principle, stand like a rock. ...Thomas Jefferson

        by ivorybill on Thu May 15, 2008 at 11:13:11 AM PDT

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        •  Yes, and GOP is cash-strapped (0+ / 0-)

          Yes, and the GOP is really short on money this year.  The conservatives don't like McCain, Bush has the approval rating of someone just eligible to vote (around 20), and many historically Moderate Republicans like me are fleeing the Republican Party.

          It is going to be uber-hard for the GOP to raise money...I know I haven't given and don't intend to (unless HRC were to steal the nomination).  That evil woman cannot be allowed back into the Whitehouse!

    •  JFK, I think (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      seattlegirl

      And Teddy Kennedy was at the AK Democratic Convention the night of the California primary in 1968. He found out Bobby had been assassinated just after he ended his speech.

      Disclosure: I am proud to work as Mark Begich's Online Communications Director

      by Matt Browner Hamlin on Thu May 15, 2008 at 01:18:38 PM PDT

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