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View Diary: What the Rules and Bylaw Commitee will decide on May 31 and why this ends June 4 or 5 (50 comments)

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  •  How does this work at the committee level? (1+ / 0-)
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    Land of Enchantment

    Will the state Democratic Party for FL and MI put forward their own proposals, and Clinton will put forward a proposal? Obama?

    I can't see any reason for party officials from Michigan thinking that it is in Michigan's interest to identify those "uncommitted" 55 as zero for Obama. He already has won 31 of 36 district delegates. On that point alone, MI and Clinton might reach different conclusions about what a fair settlement would be.

    So Clinton can appeal any decision of the committee, even if MI and FL are happy with the results?

    •  About 30 of those uncommitted delegates (3+ / 0-)

      have been allotted by the MI state convention to Obama. If MI and FL are seated at full strength he gets those 30 delegates. There is no claim, even by the Clinton camp, to override the rulings of the state convention-that isn't even an issue before the rules committe.
      Assume that Obama gets 40 delegates out of the remaining contests(that is winning SD and MT and losing PR by as much as 16 points). That would give him 1799.5, 14 more than 1784 pledged delegate majority under the 'include everybody' scenario, and that is without any of the remaining Edwards delegates declaring for Obama. So there is no way Obama can not get the majority of the pledged delegates at this point without a massive desertion of pledged delegates from his camp. With a best case of assuming he gets all the Edwards delegates, he needs fewer than 100 SDs to claim the nomination.

      You fell victim to one of the classic blunders, the most famous of which is "Never get involved in a land war in Asia".

      by yellowdog on Mon May 26, 2008 at 01:18:22 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

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