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View Diary: OK, time for another round of Vice-President sweepstakes! (122 comments)

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  •  Who adds a state to the O column? (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    chumley

    That's all I care about.  I don't think we can answer that before August.

    She voted for the war.

    by Inland on Mon May 26, 2008 at 08:17:18 PM PDT

    •  yeah, about that factor: (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      chumley, esquimaux, trivium

      To the extent that a VP candidate can EVER "carry" his/her homestate, it pretty much requires a perfect storm of circumstances:  extensive hometown ties, huge popularity, and lots of political clout. Most VP candidates just aren't going to have enough influence to carry their state. An example:  Gore/Lieberman got 43.20% of the vote in NC; Kerry/Edwards got 43.58%. Big difference Edwards made, right? To the extent that a running-mate can carry his/her homestate, the most important factor is the voter turnout that can be generated when a strong political machine is controlled by a Democratic governor. Kos has been very keen in noting this factor in the primary elections. However, this same effect can be had by a sitting governor without selecting him as the VP candidate. You think, for instance, that Tim Kaine can help carry Virginia? Great; but he can do it just as easily where he is now as he can do it as Obama's running-mate.

      Oh, and one more thing about a running-mate carrying his homestate:  it hasn't happened since LBJ in 1960.

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