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View Diary: Gallup's biases (166 comments)

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    The magnitude of the change is historicand unprecedented. Should not Gallup be wondering if something is off-kilter?  As this is not recent as someare surminsing. It started in July.

    Some reasonable questions I think - what demographic is switching - white males, females, black males or females, hispanics? Asians?  Where is ths coming from?

    What region?  Why so many?

    IF you take the June numbers,which I believe were slightly majority Dem - in the 35-33 range, how can ou explain 12% of voting age Americans, 30+ million people deciding that they are now Republicans after being Dems?!?!?  It simply makes no sense.

    Has there ever been a party with over 40% ID in the voting population?  Recently, last 30 years, no.  Even the infamous LATimes poll had Dems at 38 and the GOP at 25 - the big move was a loss in ID for the GOP, not a forward movement by Dems.

    A good research organization would be taking a close look at this - Gallup has chosen the ostrich approach.

    "We're not criticizing Bush for going after terrorists, we're criticizing him for NOT going after terrorists." - Paraphrase of J. Kerry, tip to Gen. Clark

    by Armando on Tue Sep 28, 2004 at 12:41:19 PM PDT

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