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View Diary: The Meta-Analysis Of State Polls is back! (w/poll) (31 comments)

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  •  well, I still think you were right in 2004 (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    RunawayRose, ER Doc

    in the sense that a plurality of Ohio voters attempted to vote for Kerry, but a series of methods kept many from voting and/or made sure their votes would not be counted for Kerry. I can't find the link now, but georgia10's response to "Armando's challenge" was quite persuasive on the various forms of fraud in Ohio.

    Off-topic to mindgeek: Mr. desmoinesdem bought your book and has started reading it. Looks good!

    Do you have an opinion on Lise Eliot's book about brain development in babies, called What's Going On In There? That's one I have recommended to many pregnant women and new moms.

    John McCain: 100 years in Iraq "would be fine with me."

    by desmoinesdem on Sat Aug 02, 2008 at 09:31:12 PM PDT

    •  Babies' brains - and Ohio (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      RunawayRose

      Hi, desmoinesdem - I'm so glad Mr. d is enjoying the book! We are currently working on new material for the paperback, which should be released early next year.

      I think Lise's book is good. We befriended one another many years ago; I remember her talking about writing it. It's been a little while since it came out. Another interesting book in the same category is The Scientist In The Crib. I think the question of what neuroscience can tell us about child development is a great one, and the area needs revisiting. In fact, check back with Sandra and me in a few years!

      Voter irregularities in Ohio: I don't doubt that some happened, since it's a matter of policy among GOP strategists. But it appears that Bush was likely to win anyway. Here are the last 15 days of pre-election polling:

      It's part of my post-election analysis from 2004. I recognize this is a source of bitterness among some activists, but I think it's misplaced.

      I think the emphasis on Ohio is a "brain lie" (as defined in our book) of sorts. On Election Night it was known that Ohio would be close and would play a major role in deciding the election. The timing of when results were reported gave the feeling that Ohio was the state that put Bush over the top. Therefore the emphasis on Ohio. Odder statistical anomalies occurred in Florida. As far as I know, that story doesn't have a satisfactory ending. Clearly, voting reform has a long way to go in the U.S.

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