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View Diary: Edwards voters' second choice, Part II (399 comments)

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  •  Irrelevant (0+ / 0-)

    It really doesn't matter what the 2nd choice of Edwards voters was, since odds are that there would have been a 3rd candidate  who received significant IA votes.  

    The history of IA caucuses has been to produce a top tier of 3 candidates (Kerry-Edwards-Dean, Gephardt-Simon-Dukakis, etc.).  The only times when the victor wasn't in the 30s were Gore-Bradley (only 2 candidates ran), Harkin (obvious reasons), and Carter-Kennedy (only 2 candidates).  

    My guess is that Biden would have emerged as the 3rd candidate with 20% or so.  

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