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View Diary: Key Senate races --- update (with predictions) (59 comments)

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  •  I deliberately excluded NM (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    GreyHawk, Texas Revolutionary

    becuase poblano lists it as a safe takeover ... that is, Warner is so far ahead, that it's almost a foregone conclusion

    •  Almost right. Warner is in VA, though. (4+ / 0-)

      But similar circumstances apply in both NM & VA races.  But I don't want to get to confident about NM, because we have so many open seats.  And since that state is extremely unwilling to replace incumbents, we need to go for broke!  And to do that, we can't get complacent.

      John McCain voted against health care for kids.

      by Land of Enchantment on Tue Sep 02, 2008 at 04:02:11 PM PDT

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      •  Oops (2+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        GreyHawk, Texas Revolutionary

        my bad, but you knew what I meant :-)

        In NM, Udall is leading by anywhere from 8 to 28 in polls from June to now, although, somewhat worryingly, there aren't all that many polls, and the most recent is the closest.

        •  Pearce is running this ad, ad nauseum. (4+ / 0-)

          One hopes it isn't effective.  But ya never know about what people will get taken in by.

          John McCain voted against health care for kids.

          by Land of Enchantment on Tue Sep 02, 2008 at 04:14:11 PM PDT

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          •  If he gets any traction (2+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            GreyHawk, plf515

            The Obama people were running that nice ad in Nevada against the Yucca Mountain nuclear waste facility with the clip of McSame answering the question, Would he be comfortable with trucks hauling nuclear waste through Phoenix, for example, and he says, "No, I wouldn't."

            I could see repackaging that ad to ask Pearce, if Nevada blocks the Yucca Mountain facility, they'll have to put the nuclear waste someplace, some other empty desert state might do, and since you support nuclear energy, would you support making New Mexico the site of the nation's nuclear waste facility in that case?

            •  New Mexico already has one. (5+ / 0-)

              WIPP (Waste Isolation Pilot Project) near Carlsbad.  IIRC, Bill Richardson ran against it, then facilitated it going in.  It's in Pearce's Congressional district.

              The first atom bomb was tested at the Trinity Site.  Also in Pearce's district.  Stuff like that - plus Los Alamos, Sandi (weapons) Lab - is why NM always seems to get the chairmanship of the Energy Committee in the Senate.  Why Richardson got appointed Secretary of Energy, too.  Pretty much everything going in and out of those labs, plus the WIPP, already travels all over the place on NM roads.  There are folks who think we got a bunch of highway construction money to facilitate transport of nuclear waste around the state.

              You might not get the answer you anticipate out of Pearce.  Different animal than McCain on this.  Plus there's oil in the corner of the state he's from - not far from Midland.  That ad reflects pretty well who he is, and what he's about.

              John McCain voted against health care for kids.

              by Land of Enchantment on Tue Sep 02, 2008 at 09:50:41 PM PDT

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          •  Eliminate drilling + slap at environmentalists (2+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            Land of Enchantment, plf515
            And I could go for that ad.  If Republicans actually meant it, I'd be even more happy.

            With little editing, that is a GREAT ad for a Republican to be running.  (especially compared with the tripe that normally does get run)  I would sincerely hope that it is effective, as it's got a passing acquaintance with fact and issue-based debating and campaigning.

            What we need to do is brainstorm a response to this ad, and get it running.  Absolutely co-opt the "energy independence" plank.

            Concentrated Solar Power and other clean technologies have got to be a political win in the SouthWest.

            But in the US market, solar thermal is hanging by a thread. The investment tax credit, which covers 30 percent of a CSP facility's cost, will expire at year's end unless renewed by Congress. But bills to renew the ITC have been blocked eight times this year by Senate Republicans.

            "What we're seeing with all these companies lining up for solar thermal is hugely promising," says Monique Hanis, spokeswoman for the SEIA. "But without the ITC, all of these solar thermal plants will be put on hold."

            Highlight the obstruction.

            -7.75 -4.67

            "Freedom's just another word for nothing left to lose."

            by Odysseus on Tue Sep 02, 2008 at 10:37:59 PM PDT

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