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View Diary: NC-Sen, Pres, Gov: Our latest polling (148 comments)

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  •  The key factor isn't indies, it is whites. (1+ / 0-)
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    Iberian

    In this poll, Obama is getting killed 74-21 among whites.  Obama needs to get up to 40% of the white vote to win there.  At least we know where southern whites are inclined to vote and we have no illusions that a progressive era is about to begin down there.  VA and FL remain very close though.  Obama can turn NC around because the polls are volatile and so it means that whites are thinking about this election and are swinging.  If Obama can re-enforce the notion that this is about future v. past, change v. more of the same, then I think he has a shot to make this close.  But the real targets are VA and FL because there are simply greater numbers of culturally progressive voters and whites are more receptive to Obama there.

    Alternative rock with something to say: http://www.myspace.com/globalshakedown

    by khyber900 on Thu Sep 11, 2008 at 03:05:30 PM PDT

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