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View Diary: OH-16: Boccieri (D) enjoys double-digit lead (41 comments)

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  •  Obama very well may win Ohio (1+ / 0-)
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    jj32

    I think a lot of this remains to be seen -- in the current polls, it is fairly likely that Obama is out-performing Kerry/Gore in basically every area (since he is leading by mid single digits and not losing, of course).

    Obama is visiting S, SW, and W Ohio as part of a bus-tour later this week.  In November, I assume he'll be able to run up the score in Cuyahoga, Lorain, Summit and Franklin counties, and even probably in Mahoning.  And he'll probably win Hamilton Country, where Cincinnati is at (Kerry lost by 6%).  

    He just needs to make sure Southern and NW Ohio doesn't run away from him as it did for Bush in 2004.  Kerry got absolutely crushed in most of these counties (3:1, 2:1 margins).

    Because hope and reason are not mutually exclusive.

    by OWUJason on Tue Oct 07, 2008 at 10:28:45 AM PDT

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    •  Meanwhile, will McErratic pull out of Penn? (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      GARoach

      These are todays numbers:

      US: Obama 51, McCain 42 (Gallup 10/04-06)
      PA: Obama 48, McCain 38 (Muhlenberg-10/2-6)
      FL: Obama 48, McCain 46 (MasonDixon-10/4-6)
      PA: Obama 55, McCain 40 (SurveyUSA-10/5-6)

      I know there is a "morale" reason for staying in Penn for him, since it's the only Kerry territory he can tell his supporters he's playing offense; otherwise, it's an all defensive strategy. But is it even becoming realistic (not that that ever factored into his decision making)?

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