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View Diary: Tennessee in Play? AYFKM? (84 comments)

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  •  Tennessee is 1 of 8 states that will not go blue (2+ / 0-)
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    Tricky, elsibiades

    Utah, Idaho, Oklahoma, Alabama, Wyoming, Nebraska (AL & CD3), Kansas, and Tennessee. Total 48 EVs

    All other states (490 EVs) are possible in an Obama Landslide.

    •  Goldwater won 8 states in '64 (1+ / 0-)
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      FDR 9-23-33, "If we cannot do this one way, we will do it another way. But do it we will.

      by Roger Fox on Mon Oct 13, 2008 at 06:44:21 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  The issue is not Tennessee... (0+ / 0-)

      The issue is the total popular vote, and any congressional or state house seat that can go "D" on Nov. 4th. Fight on all fronts, advance the cause in all territory. Give up not one inch of ground. That is what the 50 state strategy is about.

      You may find yourself in a beautiful house with a beautiful wife and you may ask yourself, "How did I get here?"

      by FrankCornish on Mon Oct 13, 2008 at 07:02:20 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  How 'bout (0+ / 0-)

      Alaska and Arizona?

      Kansas and Tenn have more of a shot at blueness than those 2.

      •  AZ is at +7.8 McCain, AK is in meltdown mode (0+ / 0-)

        per 538, AZ is in single digits, a long shot to vote against their favorite son, but still a possibility.

        Alaska is at +12.8 for McCain, but this number is perhaps the most unstable of all 50 states.  It was in single digits before the Palin selection.  It ballooned to 30 points up right afterwards. Lately, Alaskans have finally seen their once popular governor striped to her corrupt, incompetent self.  In the end, the Alaskan state pride may be overcome by an acknowledgement that one of their own is not ready for VP, would be a disaster for the country and an embarassment for the state. At least enough might realize to tip the balance.  A long shot but still possible.

    •  How Can You Tell (0+ / 0-)

      When was the last poll there? Have you seen North Dakota? West Virginia? Never say never. The electorate is far smarter than anyone gives them credit for. I think we are actually in for a "reverse" Bradley affect: I think there will be many who'll vote Obama, just not admit it to friends and family.

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