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View Diary: MN-Sen: Franken leads narrowly in crazy 3-way race (83 comments)

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  •  Coordination and Dem/Rep ratio (0+ / 0-)

    I think that considering this race is close, it will come down to GOTV.  I argue that the coordination between Obama, Franken, the US House and state House candidates is unprecedented.  

    For example, in MN-05, Keith Ellison could be sitting back and coasting to an easy victory against incompetent opponents.  Instead he has 25 people hired for his campaign staff.  MN-05 is one of the highest percentage of Dems in the US.  His goal is a massive turnout.

    Keith Ellison's most excellent reelection campaign

    Furthermore, the Democrat/Republican ratio may be a little more favorable to Norm that it is in reality.  I think that the ratio is closer to 40%/25% instead of the 40%/31% this poll has it at.

    The fact of the matter is many life-long Republicans have and are abandoning their party.  

    This trend of inflating the Dem/Rep ratio began around the conventions and whenever it gets closer to the more realistic 40/25, Obama is suddenly kicking McSame's *** and Franken leads by 4% to 9%.

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