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View Diary: NC-Gov, NC-Sen, NC-Pres: Dems lead two out of three tight races (152 comments)

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  •  NC is the MacGuffin (0+ / 0-)

    Like Indiana, O won't win it, but will be close enough to draw McCain and the GOP into a swamp where they'll have to pour their resources. Meanwhile, we'll focus on CO, VA, FL, and MO. Four firewalls is a good position to be in.

    •  I disagree (4+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      mainefem, jj32, lorzie, flahawkfan

      I live in a VERY conservative area of NC. I voted yesterday, was in line for almost 2 hours, chatted with many people while standing,  almost all of whom were for Obama. A lot of talk about the Powell endorsement also.

      Driving around town, Obama/Biden signs far outweigh McCain/Palin, as do bunperstickers. There are tents all around the election board, where voting is, most of which are geared toward Obama GOTV efforts and I can't tell you the number of people who were gathered around them receiving information, stickers, yard signs, etc,. It had to have been hundreds. I was very surprised, pleasantly so. I am not betting he will definetly win here, but I think he has a very strong chance in doing so.

      •  Great GOTV organization (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        flahawkfan

        Reports from all over the country confirm what you're seeing: an unprecedented ground game and a strong push for early voting.  The Obama campign is working this hard.

        Experience says that a good ground game can pull in an additional 1 - 5% of the vote.  Could be even more this time, who knows?

        But we mustn't confuse the signs of a well-organized ground game with the overall electoral sentiment.  It can influence the outcome, but isn't necessarily indicative of the outcome.

    •  and OH. (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      flahawkfan

      where he and Biden and Bill and Hillary spent time in this week.  Basically the real focus is on those five, CO, VA, FL, MO, and OH.  All Obama needs is one, but with McCain spending resources and time in NC and IN, Obama can probably take all five.

      Don't ignore the ACORN attack.

      by duha on Sat Oct 18, 2008 at 11:08:23 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  Don't give us any negative waves (0+ / 0-)

      I'm so encouraged to see the college-age generation participating in large numbers in the political process again, we may have a hole-card that's not showing up in the poles. Plus, a large turn-out favors dems in NC.  The primary polls weren't close to the results either. it's full-steam ahead in NC until election day.

    •  you're forgetting the BANDWAGON effect (0+ / 0-)

      Now that Obama is inevitable (he never
      actually NEEDED NC, or Virginia either, for
      that matter -- what he NEEDED was New Mexico,
      New Hampshire, Iowa, Wisconsin, and Colorado),
      lots of people are going to be trying to find
      excuses to vote for him JUST TO BE ON THE WINNING
      SIDE, or to be able TO IMMUNIZE THEMSELVES AGAINST
      CHARGES of the racism that they YEARN to GO RIGHT ON
      practicing.  So he could win NC that way.

      The road to hell has not YET been paved with Republicans, but it SHOULD be -- Corrected BumperSticker

      by ge0rge on Sat Oct 18, 2008 at 12:23:44 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

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