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View Diary: My Prediction: Kerry 310, Bush 228 (45 comments)

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  •  Maine (none)
    I noticed Maine isn't in your list of swing states, and you didn't give it to either candidate.

    The South is probably going for Kerry, but that northern CD is still very swingable.

    •  Because I Agree with CNN Prediction (none)
      Maine (along with Nebraska) is one of two states that splits up its electoral votes on the Presidential contest. (Colorado may join them if a referendum passes on November 2nd, which would be retroactive to this same election day... confusing, eh?).

      The CNN prediction is that three of Maine's four electoral votes go to Kerry and one goes to Bush. I'd say that's a safe bet... Although the Bangor Daily News' endorsement of Kerry today might bode and omen for a clean sweep, which would change my numbers to 311 Kerry vs. 227 Bush.

      I don't see any scenario by which a majority of Mainers support Bush, though. After all, they know he's really not a Texan, and had to run from the streets and highways when as a youth he was behind the wheel up there!

      (Oh, and thanks to everyone who recommended this diary. It's a thrill to see it inch up the homepage recommended box!)

      Participate in the Authentic Journalism renaissance at Narco News

      by Al Giordano on Sat Oct 23, 2004 at 12:23:44 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  Gotta disagree with you. (none)
        And not just because of the BDN endorsement.  The latest polls other than Gallup show Kerry taking northern Maine. Also Michaud has a huge lead over Hamel, the tax cap is fading and the dems have a great GOTV effort there (Check out the last polls in 2000 and the final result).

        The only potential problem is the bear-baiting referendum, which might get more right-leaning hunters to the polls.

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