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View Diary: My Prediction: Kerry 310, Bush 228 (45 comments)

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  •  The 310-228 Map (none)
    Got it, this is what the 310-228 map would look like.

    Ask not what your country can do for you....

    by khirkhib on Sat Oct 23, 2004 at 02:15:44 PM PDT

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    •  great minds... (none)
      I see that Kos, on page one, offers essentially this map up this afternoon as reflecting his current predictions... The only differences being is that he gives all the Maine electoral votes to Kerry (I'm withholding one so far)...

      ...and that he gives Nevada to Bush (I'm calling Nevada for Kerry - let's call it una corazonada or a Mexican hunch, backed by some actual dynamics at play). So you are right in that my addition on my own tabulations was off by five electoral points... those of Nevada... I guess my actual call is 315-223 and I'm wavering on that one stray electoral vote in Maine... I'm sure I'll waver a few more times before all is voted and counted...

      ...but my basic gist is that if Pennsylvania stays solid blue, and nobody goes to sleep overconfidently, this thing is looking not bad right now, about 280 hours out.

      Participate in the Authentic Journalism renaissance at Narco News

      by Al Giordano on Sat Oct 23, 2004 at 03:46:18 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

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