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View Diary: MN-Sen Recount: Update v. 1.1 (261 comments)

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  •  Unlikely - see my math below (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    chaboard, baahl, brein

    By my calculations, there is every possibility that these 461 votes and others like them (461 is just the biggest county, which is 23% of voters) could make the difference. I'd actually give even odds that they swing it, so "don't need 'em" and "don't help" are both around a 1 in 4 chance.

    If he knows what's good for him, Al will be pushing this as hard as he can now, because if the recount comes in against him and he only then pushes the case, the cries of "sore loser" will be deafening. Also, he must make this a statewide push, there is no way he can do it just for Hennepin county. Both in terms of appearances of cherry picking and actual net votes, picking just one county would be STUPID, even if the Hennepin county ones are the big prize.

    Opinions are like assholes. I spend way too much time looking at them on the internet.

    by homunq on Thu Nov 13, 2008 at 06:53:29 AM PST

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    •  32 late counted absentee ballots (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      L0kI

      If the results from those 461 absentee ballots match the results from the 32 late counted absentee ballots, Franken would gain 158.

      Franken claimed 18 of the 32 votes and Coleman got seven. The rest were non-votes or for other candidates.

      But I doubt that many, if any, will ever be counted.

    •  Do we know who they are? (4+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      homunq, feebog, brein, WineRev

      MN statute 203B.12 Subd. 7 says:
      The names of voters who have submitted an absentee ballot return envelope to the county auditor or municipal clerk may not be made available for public inspection until the close of voting on election day.

      But Lilihaug was prevented from inspecting the rejected ballots, so ... how can unfairly rejected absentee voters go to court unless they know they were rejected?

      •  Re: Lillihaug (1+ / 0-)
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        brein

        David Lillihaug (sp?) is Franken's lead attorney. By all accounts a heavy hitter and smart as a whip. A comment on a diary here during the past week was from someone who had worked for Lilihaug. Apparently a major pain in the courtroom if you are on the other side of the case---and a major pain to have as a boss. BUT by all accounts knows his law COLD.

        In other words, a throughly badass guy....but he's OUR badass guy....which is a good thing.

        Shalom.....in pinstripes, with an attache case.

        "God has given wine to gladden the hearts of people." Psalm 104:15

        by WineRev on Thu Nov 13, 2008 at 05:34:49 PM PST

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    •  Al's gone to court over the 461 (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      bear83, brein

      Apparently he does know what's good for him, he's filed in court to get the voter lists for the rejected absentee ballots.

      Are you shaking or biting the invisible hand?

      by puppethead on Thu Nov 13, 2008 at 12:43:41 PM PST

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