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View Diary: Wow! New CBS Poll. Obama up 13, 54 to 41% over McCain (120 comments)

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  •  I would think logically they would converge.. (0+ / 0-)

    as the election with such high enthusiasm and turnout would be reflected 3 days before the election...high enthusiasm is in the high 80% range (I saw 89%) that would mean there would be very little difference unless they were considering past voting history which this close to the election I would discount heavily...

    (e.g. if a voter says I will definitely vote and I am watching the election closely and very enthusiastic about my candidate...probable should be in the LV screen even if never voted before)

    Also, it was reported by the Obama campaign that many early voters were "occasional voters" who would be screened out of LV models, but now are saying they have already voted...effectively adding them back to the LV screen...

    Obama/Biden'08 Winning Change for America and the Democratic Party

    by dvogel001 on Sat Nov 01, 2008 at 04:41:26 PM PDT

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    •  Not to mention that Gallup showed (0+ / 0-)

      27% as having already voted.

      "Only the most deluded of us could doubt the necessity of this war." John McCain at the RNC, August 31, 2004

      by Pangloss on Sat Nov 01, 2008 at 05:47:11 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

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