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View Diary: The Big Senate Picture, one week out (94 comments)

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  •  Seems to me that (none)
    on your list, Dems taking KY is less probable than Republicans taking LA.  I think that would leave it at the 51-48-1 split if LA switched but KY didn't.

    Of course, turnout could swing all those races one way or another.  It seems possible that all the close ones (including CO) could go D or R, meaning that you might see D+4 or R+4.  D+4 would be 47-52-1.  R+4 is an ugly 55-44-1.

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