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View Diary: Polls and The Election – A Revisit (93 comments)

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  •  you are a cynic (0+ / 0-)

    but as a reality-based data guy, you should appreciate that you are completely wrong about what the polls said. And don't mistake the polls for exit polls. That's an apples and oranges comparison.

    link

    The Accuracy of the National Preelection Polls in the 2004 Presidential Election

    The 2004 presidential election campaign provided a venue for a wide variety of polling, and it was not without its controversies. In the end, the final estimates of the preelection polls, the bread and butter of the polling industry, were very good at suggesting it would be a close race, with Bush the likely winner. In historical perspective, the overall performance was above average for the period since 1956.

    and table.

    "Politics is the art of looking for trouble, finding it everywhere, diagnosing it incorrectly and applying the wrong remedies." - Groucho Marx

    by Greg Dworkin on Sun Nov 30, 2008 at 11:18:58 AM PST

    [ Parent ]

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