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View Diary: Second-to-Last Electoral College Analysis (171 comments)

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  •  Matt... (none)
    I pretty much agree with everything you said in your diary.  I think New Mexico is Bush's most likely pick-up, followed by Wisconsin.  And that's all.

    Florida is still uncertain.  I love the early turnout numbers we are seeing.  It bespeaks overall higher enthusiasm among Democrats.  It might seem unwise to agree that the polls seem to be wrong, but I do think that we are going to have a blowout in Florida.  The Repubs just pissed too many people off in 2000.

    •  asdf (none)
      I saw a Florida pollster or election official being interviewed on Hardball this week, and Matthews asked him whether he thought there was still a lot of anger over the 2000 debacle. The guy answered "There aren't numbers high enough to measure the anger still there." I think there's a good chance we can win Florida by enough that it can't be stolen.

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