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View Diary: Second-to-Last Electoral College Analysis (171 comments)

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  •  Kerry will take West Virginia (none)
    I was born and raised there.  The Union Dems are socially conservative and Bush has tried to play to that, but they need jobs and food more than bibles now.

    The wild card is that West Virginia voted for Dukakis!  I've always been convinced that this was because of the great attention the Kennedys paid to WV in the sixties, walking the dirt roads into the hollers and holding starving children in their arms for the cameras.

    There is a soft spot in WV for the massachussetts liberal.  Indeed, New England aristocrats have long been the "benefactors" (and exploiters, but they had the company store) of impoverished rural West Virginia.  A Rockefeller is still senator.  

    Lastly, the kids in West Virginia have a long tradition of dreaming of they day they can leave.  The 18 to 24 set has satellite TV, listens to Eminem, and plans to make their way to the city some day soon even though most of them will never make it.  They know that when they say draft, they mean them.  My brother is one of them.  He and his friends have said they will turnout.

    Kerry 52% to Bush 47%.

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