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View Diary: Second-to-Last Electoral College Analysis (171 comments)

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  •  Florida Analysis (none)
    I think the Cuban Americans are underestimated... there is a new generation that doesn't share the embargo mind anymore. They send money to Cuba, want to travel there, help their relatives to set up some business, invest in the post Castro era.

    Bush has hurt them with his uncompromising Cuba policy. He is waging a "dollar war" against Cuba and Castro has reacted: Now Miami Cubans will need to send euros to Cuba.

    The majority of Cuban Americans will still go Bush, but the margin will be slimmer, maybe a lot slimmer.

    Also the black vote will be a lot stronger. The Repubs will do anything to suppress it but with the whole world (and Michael Moore :-) ) watching, it won't be easy.

    If I were Bush I would close in Florida.

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