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View Diary: PA-Sen: Specter shows weakness in primary and general (97 comments)

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    Does not reaching the 50% mark in primary polling necessarily indicate weakness for the general?  It seems to me that it wouldn't, because the election dynamic is a lot different.  Also, primaries are so often subject to splintered fields and weird voting patterns, that it also doesn't necessarily seem that a candidate under 50% in primary polling is in trouble (although they certainly could be)?

    "At no point are we not going to value the sanctity of life. We would resuscitate him, then execute him." - a california prison spokesman

    by cubicalization on Fri Dec 12, 2008 at 08:51:30 AM PST

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      Adam B, cubicalization

      that being under 50 percent means trouble in the general. It means trouble in the primary. And to shore up his base, Specter will have to move Right (which he's already doing with the Holden nomination), which yes, then weakens him in the general.

      Of course, he can stay "moderate", and shore up his general election creds, but that then gives Toomey the opening he needs to close the deal.

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