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View Diary: 2009-2010 ELECTIONS: VT-Sen. With J Douglas (R-1951) in the race. (updated) (7 comments)

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  •  Racine, Markowitz, and Spaulding (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    kestrel9000, abgin

    Are running for Governor.

    No democrat will running against Leahy. There will be a candidate from another party, probably Liberty Union and/or Progressive, for senate, but they'll get next to no votes. Douglas is getting old and his popularity is waning. If he's going to run for higher office, he's looking at 2010 or 2012 on the outside, but only if he's out of office in 2010 (so his reputation can't take any more beating).

    None of the existing national-officeholders will be threatened by a Doesless run. So it will all depend on how much his ambition outweighs his common sense. My bet is he'll run for gov again, and this time he'll lose. People whose jobs were cut unnecessarily will remember his role in forcing those cuts. People whose benefits were cut because he blew $46 million dollars in federal matching funds for Medicaid will remember his blunder. His defense of Entergy's attempt to avoid funding the decommissioning costs for Vt Yankee power plant, combined with multiple failures and leaks at the plant in the last 18 months have hurt him, too. ... I finally feel that his days are numbered. The "Mr. Nice Guy" image has finally lost its sheen, and the "Mr. Can't Get Anything Right" flower has started to bloom.

    Hey guys! There's a word for bad assets, they're called liabilities!

    by mataliandy on Wed Mar 18, 2009 at 01:14:52 AM PDT

    •  very interesting comment (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      mataliandy

      I think democratic party need fastly good polls about gubernatorial race in Vermont for see if these mid level possible candidates for governor can defeat Douglas in 2010.

      If is not enough with they for assure the victory, H Dean can be an option. For me the last option is let continue J Douglas unnecessarily.

      •  I want to draft Dean (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        abgin

        But he's not interested. Which is sad, because having him in office would give the state party some breathing room to grow a crop of candidates to follow in his footsteps.

        I know a couple of people who want to spend a few years in the legislature, then run, but none of them are at a point where they could run now. A placeholder until they're ready would be very helpful.

        I do think Markowitz and Racine both have a decent chance. If we can get the primaries changed to June (currently in September, leaving no time to gather a broad base of support post-primary), I think the winner between the two has a solid shot at the seat.

        We already know that the Progressives will run a candidate - they have no choice, they need to run candidates for offices at certain levels, and receive a certain percentage of the vote in order to remain an official party in the state.

        Hey guys! There's a word for bad assets, they're called liabilities!

        by mataliandy on Wed Mar 18, 2009 at 10:39:13 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  I agree (0+ / 0-)

          I think you are rigth. If progressives get low than 10% they are chance of defeat J Douglas. And a good poll, including Dean would be very interesting now. Make a poll don't like tell he must run, we can see with the poll of J Douglas against P Leahy. That would show J Douglas real weakness.

          In this diary, J Douglas appear like the more weak republican incumbent (only against Dean) for next electoral round in all the country. Arlen Specter (only against Rendell) is the second, J Gibbons is the third and J Bunning is the fourth.

          Is bad new read Dean is not interested. I think H Dean can help very much in Vermont.

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