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View Diary: Morning feature: The Monty Hall problem (with poll and statistics questions answered) (310 comments)

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  •  Well, that's a different problem altogether (2+ / 0-)
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    plf515, NCrissieB

    The real problem here is for Monty: if he always gives a goat when the contestant picks a goat door, then the contestant should never switch if offered the chance, because the only time Monty offers a choice is when they've picked the car. If people know Monty's behavior is consistent, they will never switch and Monty will give away one car per three contestants, based on their original choice of one door of three.

    So Monty has to figure out how often to offer a choice when the contestant has picked a goat in order to lower the odds that he gives away a car.

    "You can't get something for nothing...It's time to stop being stupid." Bob Herbert

    by Orinoco on Tue May 05, 2009 at 06:13:45 AM PDT

    [ Parent ]

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