Skip to main content

View Diary: Morning feature: The Monty Hall problem (with poll and statistics questions answered) (310 comments)

Comment Preferences

  •  What's changed is just the knowledge (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    plf515, NCrissieB

    Prisoner A's knowledge of what will happen has changed, he just can't do anything about it.


    A, B and C each have:
    1/3 chance of being pardoned.
    2/3 chance of being executed.


    A has a 1/3 + 2/3 chance, same as before
    B has a 100% chance of being executed
    C has a 2/3 chance of being pardoned and a 1/3 chance of being executed.

    If A could switch bodies with C, he should.  But he can't.

Subscribe or Donate to support Daily Kos.

Click here for the mobile view of the site