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View Diary: Morning feature: The Monty Hall problem (with poll and statistics questions answered) (310 comments)

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  •  I was a phone "psychic." (2+ / 0-)
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    plf515, NCrissieB

    There's no psychic to it. Really. None.

    It's precisely what you said. Also, we have a deep need in us to believe, as well as a deep need to have an "authority" tell us what we already want to hear. It validates us.

    While I'm at it - we have a wonderful ability for selective memory. The "psychic" can be wrong about 99 things, but when successful fishing results in a hit, the client will forget the 99 misses and remember only the hit, and will avow forever that the "psychic" was right on everything.

    "There are four boxes to be used in defense of liberty: soap, ballot, jury, and ammo. Please use in that order." --- Ed Howdershelt (Author)

    by SciMathGuy on Tue May 05, 2009 at 02:49:54 PM PDT

    [ Parent ]

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