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View Diary: H1N1: Why Do Schools Close, And When Do They Open? (249 comments)

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  •  no, I'm suggesting that (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    CalifSherry

    absent a vaccine we cannot stop it spreading, eventually, and given that reality we are better off to let it spread while it is still "mild".  If we do manage to slow the spread of this mild form the result will be a population more vulnerable when a more deadly strain appears.

    The only justification for suppressing this mild form is a certainty that vaccine will be available before a more severe strain developes . . .

    •  And it will spread. (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      CalifSherry

      But these precautions will help it spread more slowly. It will still get to you, eventually!

      And, if it's taken enough time, the doctors and hospital beds will be adequate for those who do get secondary infections/pneumonias/etc., and whole areas won't be disrupted by having everyone sick at the same time.

      There is virtue in slowing the spread. No one (knowledgeable) that I've heard has said they're going to be able to prevent the spread of the virus altogether.

      "Have nothing in your houses that you do not know to be useful or believe to be beautiful." -William Morris

      by Robespierrette on Sun May 03, 2009 at 11:08:24 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  I question the "virtue" (0+ / 0-)

        of slowing the spread while it is mild, and leaving the population vulnerable until it becomes severe.

        "Common wisdom" used to be to make sure your kids got mumps while they were young, because it was much worse to get once you were older.  And the whole idea of vaccination came from the observation that people who'd had cowpox didn't get (severe cases of) smallpox.

        As for getting it "eventually" . . . I've almost certainly already had (a variant of) H1N1, and probably still have at least some immunity.  I'd like to get my "booster" while it's still mild.  Of course I'd prefer an asymptomatic "vaccine" . . . but given our inability to produce enough in time for the next flu season . . .

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