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View Diary: Polling and Political Wrap-Up, 7/14/09 (62 comments)

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  •  I'd love to see your analysis (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Steve Singiser

    on the Kentucky Senate Race. Looks like the Dems have Mongiardo and Conway, (another unknown ) and the Repubs have Bunning and possibly Trey Grayson.

    If you can squeeze it in, I'd love to read your take.

    •  This Is A Wrap-Up of News of the Day, So... (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:

      When the race makes news, I throw it in. But for you...


      I think this is very much a sleeper race for Democrats. EVERYONE in KY and the NRSC wants Bunning to go, but Bunning doesn't seem to want Bunning to go. My suspicion is that Grayson will get in no matter what. I suspect that if he gets in, Bunning will get out. He's smart enough to not want to end his career getting beat by thirty in a primary.

      For the Dems, Jack Conway had a monster fundraising quarter (he doubled up Trey Grayson, who allegedly blasted Bunning on funding), and he may well be the slight frontrunner. Mongiardo earned a lot of respect from folks because he went after Bunning when it seemed like a fool's errand. Either one would be an exponential improvement, it goes without saying.

      If you asked me to put cold hard cash down on it, I'd put my money on Jack Conway. That said, quite a few people I respect have told me over the years that Grayson would be a tough, tough out in a statewide race.

      "You share your young with the wolves of the nation...
      Theres nothing left til you pray for salvation"
      Black Rebel Motorcycle Club "American X"

      by Steve Singiser on Tue Jul 14, 2009 at 08:23:13 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

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